Washington: A new survey has indicated strong support for Democratic candidates among Indian-American voters ahead of the US midterm elections scheduled for November 3. The findings could raise concerns for President Donald Trump and the Republican Party, with the survey pointing to a significant gap between the two parties among Indian-American voters.

According to the Indian American Attitudes Survey (IAAS), conducted by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in partnership with YouGov, 62 per cent of Indian-American citizens surveyed intend to vote for Democratic candidates in House of Representatives elections, compared with 19 per cent who favour Republican candidates. This gives Democrats a 43-percentage-point lead.

A similar trend is visible in Senate races. The survey found that 63 per cent of respondents in states holding Senate elections support Democratic candidates, while 21 per cent favour Republicans.

The online survey was conducted between October 7 and October 27 among 1,000 Indian-American adults, with an overall margin of error of 3.87 percentage points. The voting-intention analysis was based on 861 US citizens.

In an analysis accompanying the survey, researchers Sumitra Badrinathan, Devesh Kapur, Annabel Miller, Andy Robaina and Milan Vaishnav said the findings point to renewed support for Democrats alongside dissatisfaction with Trump and the Republican Party.

The survey also highlights a contrast with the 2024 presidential election. At that time, 62 per cent of Indian Americans supported Kamala Harris, while 30 per cent backed Donald Trump. By January 2026, support for the Democratic presidential candidate had declined to 57 per cent, while 25 per cent supported Trump.

Among men aged 40 and above, support for Democratic candidates reportedly rose from 53 per cent in January 2026 to 68 per cent in October. Republican support among this group fell from 32 per cent to 16 per cent.

Interestingly, while 46 per cent of respondents identified themselves as Democrats, 62 per cent intended to vote for Democratic congressional candidates.

The findings suggest that the Republican Party's gains among Indian-American voters in 2024 have not translated into comparable support for its congressional candidates. However, the survey measures voting intentions and should not be mistaken for actual election results or a prediction of the outcome.